学科分类
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33 个结果
  • 简介:本文对高中英语教学中常用的"Warmingup"形式进行一些归纳,如合作型热身,拟人型热身,情景型热身,任务型热身,并联系新教材的内容举例说明各种形式的运用.

  • 标签: 热身 互动 情景
  • 简介:Globalwarminghasgreatlyconcernedthewholeworld.Owingtothelimitationwecurrentlyhave,itisstilldifficulttocompletelyunderstandthemechanismandphysicalscienceofclimatechange.Nowbothcertaintyanduncertaintycoexistintheunderstandingofclimatewarming.Thispaperaimstosummarizecertaintiesanduncertaintiesinclimate-warmingstudies,whichfocusonsevenkeyproblemsrelatedtohumanactivities,namely,globalwarming,atmosphericconcentrationsofgreenhousegases,relationshipbetweengreenhousegasemissionsandclimatewarming,climatemodels,futureclimatechange,2?warmingthresholdandtippingpointintheEarth’ssystem.Weshouldcomprehensivelytakeintoaccountthelevelofcertaintyanduncertaintyinourunderstandingofclimatechangewhileadaptingtoandmitigatingglobalwarmingandadjustingourindustrialstructuresaccordingly.Thiswouldallowustorespondtochangewithcertainty,whileavoidingtherisksassociatedwithuncertainty.

  • 标签: GLOBAL WARMING CERTAINTY UNCERTAINTY
  • 简介:Greenhousegasesandglobalwarminghavereceivedincreasingattentioninrecentyearsandgainedaprominentplaceonnationalandinternationalagendas.In1988theUnitedStatesCongressaskedtheU.S.NationalAcademyofSciencestoconductastudyonthepolicyimplicationsofgreenhousewarming.Oneofthetasksinthestudywastoexaminemitigationoptionsanddevelopanassessmentmethodologyforthem.Thistaskwasundertakenbyapanelof19scientists,economists,andengineers.TheauthorwastheChairmanofthatpanel.Inthispaper,themethodologydeveloped-the“technologicarcosting”method-isbrieflyreviewedandthereasonsforchoosingitovereconomicmodelingwerediscussed.Itconcludeswithadiscussiononhowthegreenhousewarmingproblemmayaffecttheenergyandpowersystemofthefuture.

  • 标签: GREENHOUSE WARMING MITIGATION costing panel gases
  • 简介:Invoking45-yrdailyEuropeanCentreforMedium-rangeWeatherForecasts(ECMWF)reanalysisdata,firstlyallthesuddenstratosphericwarming(SSW)eventsareselectedintheseyears,whichcanbeclassifiedintotwocategories:downward-propagatingeventandnon-downward-propagatingevent.Andthen,basedonpotentialvorticitydistributiononisentropicsurfaces(IPV),temperaturefield,andzonalwindfield,adetaileddescriptionoftheSSWoccurringduringthewinter-spring(DecemberandthefollowingJanuary,February,March)in2000-01and2001-02isgiven.Finally,theevolvementofpolarvortexduringwarmingprocessandtheimpactofwarmingontropospherearediscussed.Itisfoundthat(1)thereisinter-decadalvariationforstratosphericwarmingphenomenon;(2)theSSWeventlastingfromlateJanuarytillearlyMarchin2001canpropagatedownwardtotroposphere;(3)duringthisSSW,thereiszonal-meaneasterlywindsinbothstratosphereandtroposphere;(4)thetwowarmingeventsduringDecember2001andMarch2002cannotpropagatedownwardtotroposphere,whilezonaleasterlywindsonlyappearinstratosphere;and(5)intheprocessofthetwotypesofwarming,alongandnarrowhigh-valueIPV'tongue'extendsoutfrommainpolarvortex,whichbreaksoutthegradientofIPV.Comparedwiththenon-downward-propagatingstratosphericwarmingcase,thehighestvalueofIPVdepartsfartherfrompoleandthe'tongue'islongerandnarrowerduringthedownward-propagatingwarmingevent.Pinchedbyanticyclonefrommiddlelatitude,thestratosphericpolarvortexwilldisplace,distortorbreakdown.Bycontrast,thechangeofpolarvortexisgreaterinthecourseofdownward-propagatingwarmingevent.Also,tropospherecirculationandpolarvortexevolveindifferentdegree,andusuallybothofthemgowithblocking,buttheaboveevolvementinthedownward-propagatingwarmingismoredistinct.

  • 标签: 大气科学 平流层 气温升高 极地涡流
  • 简介:在由联合国环境规划署发起的“一人一年植一棵树,以抗击地球变暖”活动中,中国不仅积极响应,而且超额完成了任务,足见中国人的环保意识正在逐步提高。

  • 标签: 中学 英语教学 教学方法 阅读
  • 简介:Overthepast25years,anannualaverageof6to7tropicalcyclones(TCs)madelandfallonChinamainlandandHainanIslandwithanaverageintensityof29.9m/satlandfallandmaintainedatleasttropicalstormintensityfor15.6hoursoverland,leadingto505deathsand37billionyuanindirecteconomicloss,whichaccountedfor0.4%oftheannualGDPofChina.Althoughtherewaslittlechangeintheoveralllandfallfrequency,intensityatlandfallandoverlandduration,theannualtotaldirecteconomiclossincreasedsignificantlyduetotherapideconomicdevelopmentoverthepast25years.Underglobalwarming,theintensityofTCsthatmadelandfallonHainandecreasedbuttheoverlanddurationandfrequencyofTCsthatmadelandfallonFujianandZhejiangincreased.Atthenationalandprovinciallevels,theratioofthedirecteconomiclosstoGDPandcasualtiescausedbylandfalltropicalcyclonesdecreased,suggestingtheeffectivenessofdisasterpreventionandreductioninChina.

  • 标签: TROPICAL CYCLONE track economic loss global
  • 简介:在最近的十年期间,热带Indo和平的海洋变得逐渐地更温暖。同时,两个都,北、南部的半球的极的旋涡(NPV和SPV)在北方的冬季展出了一个加深的趋势。尽管以前的研究表明了温暖的热带印度洋(IOW)赞成加强的NPV和变弱的SPV,温暖的热带太平洋(战俘)怎么影响NPV和SPV,仍然保持不清楚。在这研究,比较分析通过大气的一般发行量模型(AGCM)试验的整体被进行了。当POW削弱了NPV时,结果证明为北半球,二温暖在北方的冬季施加了相反的影响,因为IOW加强了NPV。为南部的半球,IOW和战俘温暖了南部的极的空气并且削弱了SPV。诊断分析基于涡度预算表明在从在北方的冬季的IOW和战俘的影响的如此的interhemispheric差别与在半球之间的短暂旋涡动量流动集中的不同角色被联系。而且,这差别可能在北方的冬季被连接了到在半球之间的静止波浪活动的不同力量。关键词热带Indo和平的海洋温暖-北、南部的极的旋涡-大气的一般发行量模型-短暂旋涡-静止波浪

  • 标签: 热带印度洋 热带太平洋 变暖 极涡 大气环流模式 北半球
  • 简介:ArtSceneWarehouse,ShanghaiSeptember1-September20AllimagescourtesyofArtSceneChina■Nowandagain,whennooneelseisgettingthemessageacross,groupsofartistsgettogethertoillustrateenvironmentalissuestothepublic.Art

  • 标签:
  • 简介:UsingtheECMWFreanalysisdaily200-hPawinddataduringthetwo20-yrperiodsfrom1958to1977andfrom1980to1999,thecharacteristicsandchangesofIntraseasonalOscillations(ISO)inthetwoperiodsassociatedwithglobalwarmingareanalyzedandcomparedinthisstudy.Itisfoundthatduringthelast20years,theISOhasweakenedinthecentralequatorialPacificOcean,butbecomesmoreactiveinthecentralIndianOceanandtheBayofBengal;underthebackgroundoftheglobalwarming,increaseintheamplitudeofISOintensitysuggeststhattheISOhasbecomemoreactivethanbefore,withanobviousseasonalcycle,i.e.,strongduringwinterandspring,butweakduringsummerandautumn;theenergyoftheuppertroposphericzonalwindshasmoreconcentratedinwavenumbers1-3,andthefrequencyofISOtendedtoincrease.ComparisonbetweentheresultsofcontrolexperimentandCO_2increase(1%peryear)experimentofFGOALS-1.0g(developedatLASG)withthefirstandsecond20-yrobservations,isalsoperformed.respectively.ThecomparativeresultsshowthatthespatialstructureoftheISOwaswellreproduced,butthestrengthofISOwasunderestimated.Onthebasisofspace-timespectralanalysis,itisfoundthatthesimulatedISOcontainstoomuchhighfrequencywaves,leadingtotheunderestimationofISOintensityduetothedispersionofISOenergy.However,FGOALS-1.0gcapturedthesalientfeaturesofISOundertheglobalwarmingbackgroundbytwocontrastexperiments,suchasthevitalityandfrequency-increasingofISOinthecentralIndianOceanandtheBayofBengal.

  • 标签: 全球变暖 热带气候 耦合大气环流模型 气候变化
  • 简介:Jiansanzhen,Tianzong(SI11),Jugu(LI16),Jianzhen(SI9),Binao(LI14)andQuchi(LI11)weregivenwarming-needlemoxibustiontotreatshoulderperiarthritisin78cases,andtheresultshowedtotaleffectiveratewas97.4%.

  • 标签: Warming-needle THERAPY SHOULDER JOINT INFLAMMATION
  • 简介:AlaskanArcticwatershaveparticipatedinhemispheric-wideArcticwarmingoverthelasttwodecadesatovertwotimestherateofglobalwarming.During2008-13,thisrelativewarmingoccurredonlynorthoftheBeringStraitandtheatmosphericArcticfrontthatformsanorth-souththermalbarrier.ThisfrontseparatesthesoutheasternBeringSeatemperaturesfromArcticairmasses.ModelprojectionsshowthatfuturetemperaturesintheChukchiandBeaufortseascontinuetowarmatarategreaterthantheglobalrate,reachingachangeof+4℃by2040relativetothe1981-2010mean.Offshoreat74~N,climatemodelsprojecttheopenwaterdurationseasontoincreasefromacurrentaverageofthreemonthstofivemonthsby2040.Theseratesareoccasionallyenhancedbymidlatitudeconnections.BeginninginAugust2014,additionalArcticwarmingwasinitiatedduetoincreasedSSTanomaliesintheNorthPacificandassociatedshiftstosoutherlywindsoverAlaska,especiallyinwinter2015-16.WhileglobalwarmingandequatorialteleconnectionsareimplicatedinNorthPacificSSTs,theendingofthe2014-16NorthPacificwarmeventdemonstratestheimportanceofinternal,chaoticatmosphericnaturalvariabilityonweatherconditionsinanygivenyear.ImpactsfromglobalwarmingonAlaskanArctictemperatureincreasesandsea-iceandsnowloss,withoccasionalNorthPacificsupport,areprojectedtocontinuetopropagatethroughthemarineecosystemintheforeseeablefuture.TheecologicalandsocietalconsequencesofsuchchangesshowaradicaldeparturefromthecurrentArcticenvironment.

  • 标签: Alaska North Pacific Arctic WARM advection
  • 简介:Thefocusofthisyear'sconferenceisGlobalExtremeEvents,characterizedaslarge-scaleclimaticeffectsthathavebeenincreasinginmagnitudeandfrequency.Prof.SinyanShen,ChairmanoftheGWInternationalProgramCommittee,hasbeenleadingtheworldonGlobalExtremeEventsandEmergencyResponse.InthelongtermclimatechangewillcausetheEarthtotransittoanotherequilibriumstatethroughmanyoscillationsinclimaticpattern.Globalwarmingcausesextremeeventsandbadweatherinthenearterm.Theimmediate

  • 标签: 全球变暖 国际会议 极端气候 气候学
  • 简介:在南部的中国把降水和每月的温度数据基于每天,在南部的中国的冬季极端降水变化被使用Mann-Kendall测试和概括Pareto分发的返回值调查了。结果证明在南部的中国的一场冬季气候大祸在1991附近发生了,并且冬季极端降水的紧张在温暖的气候以后被加强。在温暖的气候前后的异常发行量特征被为大气的研究分析数据的环境预言/公民中心使用美国国家中心进一步分析。在东亚上的热带冬季季风否定地在东南的中国与降水被相关,这被发现。在气候温暖以后,在中间、高的纬度的发行量的meridionality从北方增加空气,它为寒冷的向南方的运动是有利的。另外,在南部的中国上的温度的增加可以导致在大陆和海洋之间的微分加热的减少。因而,在东亚上的热带冬季季风被削弱,它为到东南的中国和潮湿流动的异常集中的形成的温暖、潮湿的空气的运输是有利的,导致在东南的中国上的大降水。作为结果,在在在温暖的气候以后的中间、高的纬度和更低的纬度的异常发行量之间的相互作用在东南的中国上在冬季降水紧张的增加起一个主要作用。

  • 标签: 气候变暖 冬季气候 中国南方 降水事件 背景分析 广义PARETO分布
  • 简介:在带的高潮植被上在东北中国和调查从210个气象学的车站基于数据,Kira的温暖索引(Wl),寒冷索引(Cl),并且徐文铎的湿度索引(Hl)被采用模仿并且在气候下面预言植被eco边界的动力学在东北中国温暖。带的高潮植被的未来植被eco边界改变类型能被划分成三种类型,例如扩大植被eco边界种类(为45鈥?的Wl价值范围5掳C路月)它将在温暖的气候下面向北移动,撤退植被eco边界种类(为25鈥?的Wl价值范围5掳C路月)它将从现在的地区,和绝灭的人口种类撤退(为5鈥?的Wl价值范围5掳C路月)它将被扑灭因为生态系统t在东北中国,为纬度的15掳和2600m有差别高度。基于我们的研究结果,edificators将向北移动大约400鈥?00km,大草原植被将移动eastwords900km,和人口将向上移动大约260鈥?在山的60m如果全球温度以后增加2掳C。然而,当纬度和高度增加了,动人的距离将变得越来越短。因此,在在Daxing'an山和Changbai山的高山的冻土带地区的人口可能消失。当他们放下了策略以后对气候变化作出回应时,结果被期望供应参考到本地管理。

  • 标签: WARMTH INDEX Humidity INDEX Vegetation Eco-boundary
  • 简介:Adiscrepancyremainsinthefirsttwoleadingempiricalorthogonalfunction(EOF)modesofthetropicalPacificseasurfacetemperatureanomaly(SSTA)basedonobservationssincethe1980s.TheEOF1mode,representingtheElNino-SouthernOscillation(ENSO),isarobustresult.However,theEOF2featureseitherElNinoModoki(EM)orENSOevolutionduringdifferentperiods,whichisprobablyassociatedwiththeimpactsofglobalwarming.TheunderlyingquestioniswhattheEOF2modeofthetropicalPacificwouldbewithoutglobalwarming.UsingtheCMIP5preindustrialscenariotoexcludetheinfluenceofglobalwarming,wefindthattheEOF1modeofthetropicalPacificSSTArepresentsENSOandthattheEOF2modeisnotEM.Accordingtothelead–lagcorrelationbetweentheENSOandEOF2modes,thelinkagebetweenthesetwomodesisasfollows:…ElNino→EOF2→LaNina→–EOF2→ElNino….Byanalyzingtheevolutionofseasurfacetemperature,surfacewind,andsubsurfaceoceantemperatureanomalies,wefindthemechanismlinkingtheENSOandEOF2modesistheair–seainteractionassociatedwiththeENSOcycle.ThisresultsuggeststhattheEOF2moderepresentsanaspectofENSOevolutionunderpreindustrialconditions.Therefore,thisstudyfurtherindicatesthattheEMisprobablyduetotheinfluenceofglobalwarming.

  • 标签: El Nino-Southern Oscillation(ENSO) ENSO evolution global
  • 简介:Basedonthedataupto1999fromhydroclimatologicaldepartments,thispaperanalyzestheclimaticdivideimplicationsoftheQinlingMountainsinregionalresponsetotheprocessofclimatewarming,duetowhichthegradesofdryness/wetness(GDW)in100yearsshowthatthenorthernregionhasenteredadroughtperiod,whilethesouthernisahumidperiod.Inacourseoftenyears,theD-valueofannualaverageairtemperatureoversouthernShaanxi(theHanjiangValley)andtheCentralShaanxiPlain(theGuanzhongPlain)hasnarrowed,i.e.,theformerwithaslightchangeandthelatterwithrapidincreaseintemperature.BothregionswerearidwiththedecreaseinprecipitationD-value,namelytheplainbecamewarmerwhilethesouthwasdrier.TheQinlingMountainsplayapronouncedroleintheclimaticdivide.Therunoffcoefficient(RC)oftheWeiheRiverdecreasessynchronouslywiththatoftheHanjiangduetoclimatewarming.TheRCofWeihedroppedfrom0.2inthe1950stolessthan0.1inthe1990s.TheWeiheValley(theGuanzhongPlain)ispracticallyanaridareaduetoshortageofwater.Thesuccessive0.5,1.0℃temperatureanomalyoverChinamarks,perhaps,theimportanttransitionperiodinwhichtheenvironmentbecomesmorevulnerablethanbefore.Thestudyshowstheobvioustrendofenvironmentalaridity,whichisofhelptotheunderstandingofregionalresponsetoglobalclimatechange.

  • 标签: 气候变化 干旱 Qinling 山
  • 简介:UtilizingtheJointTyphoonWarningCenter(JTWC)andTokyo-TyphoonCenteroftheJapanMeteorologicalAgency(JMARSMCTOKYO)best-tracktropicalcyclone(TC)datafortheperiod1951-2014,variationsinspatialandtemporalcharacteristicsofNorthwestPacificTCactivityforaglobalwarmingscenarioarediscussed.Theresultssuggestthatsincetheearly1960s,therehasbeenanoveralldecreasingtrendinthefrequencyofoccurrence,intensity,peakintensity,lengthofmovement,andlifetimeofTCs.However,globalwanninghasledtoalinearlyincreasingtrendinTCactivityineasternAsia,whichindicatesthatNorthwestPacificTCactivitydecreases,butthefrequencyoflandfallsandintensityarelikelystrengthened.Therefore,thethreatofTCstowardseasternAsiaisenhanced.TheincreaseinTCactivityineasternAsiaislikelytheresultofastrengthenedWalkercirculationduetoanincreasingtemperaturegradientbetweenthenorthwestPacificOceanandthecentralandeasternPacificOcean.ThestrengtheningWalkercirculationcouldincreasethemagnitudeoftheverticalwindshear,relativevorticity,andmeridionalwindshearoflow-leveleasterliesneartheequatorinthetropicalNorthwestPacific,whichaffectsthespatialandtemporalvariationsofTCactivityintheNorthwestPacific.

  • 标签: global WARMING western North Pacific tropical
  • 简介:ThisstudyaimstoexploretherelativeroleofoceanicdynamicsandsurfaceheatfluxesinthewarmingofsouthernArabianSeaandsouthwestIndianOceanduringthedevelopmentofIndianOceanDipole(IOD)eventsbyusingNationalCenterforEnvironmentalPrediction/NationalCenterforAtmosphericResearch(NCEP/NCAR)dailyreanalysisdataandGlobalOceanDataAssimilationSystem(GODAS)monthlymeanoceanreanalysisdatafrom1982to2013,basedonregressionanalysis,EmpiricalOrthogonalFunction(EOF)analysisandcombinedwitha21/2layerdynamicupper-oceanmodel.TheresultsshowthatduringtheinitialstageofIODevents,warmdownwellingRossbywavesexcitedbyananomalousanticycloneoverthewestIndianPeninsula,southwestIndianOceanandsoutheastIndianOceanleadtothewarmingofthemixedlayerbyreducingentrainmentcooling.AnanomalousanticycloneoverthewestIndianPeninsulaweakensthewindovertheArabianSeaandSomalicoast,whichhelpsdecreasetheseasurfaceheatlossandshallowthesurfacemixedlayer,andalsocontributestotheseasurfacetemperature(SST)warminginthesouthernArabianSeabyinhibitingentrainment.TheweakenedwindsincreasetheSSTalongtheSomalicoastbyinhibitingupwellingandzonaladvection.ThewindandnetseasurfaceheatfluxanomaliesarenotsignificantoverthesouthwestIndianOcean.DuringtheantecedentstageofIODevents,thewarmingofthesouthernArabianSeaiscloselyconnectedwiththereductionofentrainmentcoolingcausedbytheRossbywavesandtheweakenedwind.Withtheappearanceofanequatorialeasterlywindanomaly,thewarmingofthesouthwestIndianOceanisnotonlydrivenbyweakerentrainmentcoolingcausedbytheRossbywaves,butalsobythemeridionalheattransportcarriedbyEkmanflow.TheanomalousseasurfaceheatfluxplaysakeyroletodampthewarmingofthewestpoleoftheIOD.

  • 标签: Arabian Sea summer monsoon Indian Ocean Dipole 21/2layer dynamic upper-ocean model