简介：ＡｇｅＳｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅａｎｄＤｅｐｅｎｄｅｎｃｙＲａｔｉｏＣｈｉｎａ’ｓｐｏｐｕｌａｔｉｏｎｈａｓｅｘｐｅｒｉｅｎｃｅｄａｐｒｏｃｅｓｆｒｏｍａｈｉｇｈｂｉｒｔｈｒａｔｅａｎｄｈｉｇｈｍｏｒｔａｌｉｔｙｒａｔｅｔｏａｌｏｗｂｉｒｔｈｒａｔｅａｎｄｌ...

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简介：ＰｒｏｊｅｃｔｉｏｎｏｆＣｈａｎｇｅｉｎｔｈｅＡｇｅＳｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅｏｆｔｈｅＷｏｒｌｄＰｏｐｕｌａｔｉｏｎＢｙｔｈｅｍｉｄ－２１ｓｔｃｅｎｔｕｒｙ，ｔｈｅｗｏｒｌｄｐｏｐｕｌａｔｉｏｎｉｓｐｒｏｊｅｃｔｅｄｔｏｔｏｐｔｅｎｂｉｌｌｉｏｎ，ｏｆｗｈ...

简介：WithcomparisonofdemographicchangesbetweenthedevelopedEuropeancountriesandChina,thispaperhasdiscussedtheshortcomingsoftheWesterndemographictransitiontheories.Furthermore,thepaperhasproposedthedirectionofdemographictransitionandthecriteriaofsuchtransition'scompletion.Withtheestablishmentofage-structuretransitiontheory,andhelpedwithstrictdefinitionsofbothsurpluspopulationandappropriatepopulation,thepaperpointsoutthedistinctionofdemographicage-structurebetweenthosedevelopingcountriesthatareundergoingdemographictransitionandthosedevelopedcountrieswithanearcompletionofsuchdemographictransition.FinallyitconcludesthatChina'stransitionofagestructureismovingtowardsafeasibledirection.

简介：TakingBeijingasanexampleandbasedonthecensusdata,macro-levelpopulationstatisticaldataand2004~2013marriageregistrationdata,thispapermakesacontrastiveanalysisonthecharacteristicsandchangingtrendsoflocalresidents,migrantsandtemporarymigrants.Relativetothelocalresidents,themigrantsgenerallyhavehouseholdregistryofcentraldistrictsandhighereducationallevelandoccupationallayer.Temporarymigrantshaverelativelycomplicatedpopulationstructurebutdifferentiateduringtheprocessofmarriagematching.'Two-placemarriages'formastablegroupofnewpermanentmigrantsandmeanwhileimplyasizablegroupoflatentdependentmigrants.Thiswillproducegreatinfluencesonthegeneralpopulationstructureandtheagingprocess,whichmayalsoleadtosomeconflictsandproblems.Thegovernmentshouldbepreparedwithpolicyresponsessoastopromotethebenigndevelopmentofpopulationdiversificationinmegalopolis.

简介：Thechangesinlaborsupplyanddemandareimportantfactorsaffectingeconomicgrowth.ThepurposeofthispaperistopredictandanalyzethetrendsinChina'slaborsupplyanddemandduringthe13thFive-YearPlanperiodandthelongerperiodinthefuture.Thescaleandstructureoftheannualnewentrantsoflaborforcearepredictedbyaccountingthenumberswhoareleavingfromvariousstagesofeducation.whiletrendsoflabordemandarepredictedaccordingtoemploymentelasticityfromtheexperienceofindustrializationofdevelopedcountries.Theresultsshowthat,duringthe13thFiveYearPlanperiod.thescaleofthenewaddedlaborwoulddecreaseslightly,withanaverageannualincrementofaround15.68million.Atthesametime.labordemandwouldincreasesteadily,withannually15.42millionemploymentopportunities.Laborsupplyanddemandwouldberoughlybalanced;however,therewouldbeincreasingstructuralcontradictionsofthelabormarket.Basedontheanalysisoflaborsupplyanddemand,weprovideanestimationoftheunemploymentscaleofthe40'sand50'sgenerations,migrantworkersandcollegegraduates,anddiscusspolicysuggestionsonpromotingemploymentofcollegegraduates.

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