简介:China’sstockmarkethasexperiencedmorethan20yearsofdevelopment.Despitetheconceptofvalueinvestmenthasalreadybeenreflectedinstockinvestment,manyinvestors,especiallysmallandmediuminvestors,stilldonotpaymuchattentiontovalueinvestment.Blindnessandspeculativethinkingstillaffectinvestment.Thispaperchoosesthebankingindustryastheanalysisobjectandusestherelativevaluationapproachtoevaluatetheprice-earningsratio(P/Eratio),price-to-bookvalueratio(P/Bratio),andprice-earningstogrowth(PEG)ofthe10listedbanks,thenjudgestheinvestmentvalueofeachbankandfocusesonthevaluationandpricingofthebankingwithrapidgrowth.Basedonthis,thechoiceofvalueinvestmentdecisionsismade,tryingtoprovideademonstrationforinvestorstomakevalueinvestmentdecisions.Finally,itisrecommendedtoinvestinChinaMerchantsBank(CMB),MinshengBank,ShanghaiPudongDevelopmentBank(SPDB),IndustrialandCommercialBankofChina(ICBC),HSBCBank,andBankofChina.ItisnotrecommendedtoinvestinPingAnBank,BankofCommunications,IndustrialBank,andChinaCITICBank.
简介:TheZimbabweanfinancialsectorhasbeenretrogressive,constrained,andunpredictablesincetheyear2000,servingforthemultiplecurrencyperiods(2009-2013)afterthedemonetizationofthedomesticdollar.ThesectorsincethenhasseenanumberofcommercialbanksfailtomeetRBZ(ReserveBankofZimbabwe)minimumcapitalrequirements,putundercuratorship,delistedorliquidatedbecauseofamyriadofoperationalandfinancialchallenges.Theobjectiveofthisstudyistomakeanassessmentofwhetherornottheintroductionofbondnoteshasbeenacurseorblessing.Thestudydrewrawdatafrombankaccountholders,academics,generalpublic,corporateworldandcommercialbanksinMasvingoforanalysisandinterpretation.Thestudyestablishedthatthemajorityofpeople,corporateworldandcommercialbankswerescepticaltoembracethesurrogatebondnotesbecauseoftheuncertainties,operationalandfinancialrisksthattheypausedonthedomesticfinancialmarkets.Itwasalsodiscoveredthatmostbankswerequicktopayclients’withdrawalsinbondnotes,deductUSdollarequivalencesfromtheiraccounts,anddistinguishbondnotesfromUSdollarsatthepointofmakingdepositsandforeignbusinesstransactions.ItwasalsorealizedthattherewasmarketindisciplineandtradinginbiggerUSdollarnotesintheinformalsectorandseriousshortageofthesamenotesintheformalsector.ThestudyconcludedthattheintroductionofbondnotestotradeparalleltotheUSdollarbroughtaseriousshortageofcashonformalmarketsandincreasesinthegeneralpricelevelofgoodsandservices.ThestudythereforerecommendsthattheRBZshouldcompletelywithdrawthebondnotesfromthemarkettoaccordtheUSdollaritsworldmarketvalueandrestoreconfidenceanddisciplineintheZimbabweanfinancialsector.ThestudyalsorecommendsanotheroptionoftheadoptionoftheSouthAfricanRandasaninterventionistwayofsolvingZimbabwe’sliquiditycrises.
简介:ByusingGARCHandEGARCHmodels,theauthorsexaminetherelationshipbetweenpricevolatilityandnewinformationflow,representedbytradingvolume,andpastinformationflow,representedbytheARCHeffect,intheShanghaiStockMarketforthethreedifferentperiodsfromJuly1998toDecember2002:thesoftperiod,thebullperiod,andthebearperiod.Theempiricalresultsshowthat:(1)thereexistsa'leverageeffect'inthestockmarket;thatis,negativenewshadagreaterimpactonstockpricevolatilitythandidpositivenewsinthesoftperiodandbearperiod,butinthebullperiodthe'leverageeffect'behavesdifferently;(2)thereisasignificantlypositiverelationshipbetweentradingvolumeandstockpricevolatility,andsucharelationshipisevenmoresignificantinthebearperiod;(3)itturnsoutthatinthethreeperiods,therelationshipsbetweenstockpricevolatilityandinformationflow,bothpastandnew,arenotthesame;thatis,inboththesoftandbullperiods,boththeARCHeffect,reflecting'pastinformationflow',andtradingvolume,reflecting'newinformationflow',explainpricevolatilitysimultaneously,butinthebearperiod,theARCHeffectissubstantiallyreduced.Thesefindingsprovidekeyevidenceforunderstanding,explaining,andtrackingthecharacteristicsofpricevolatilityandthechangingrulesofthestockmarketinChinamorecomprehensively.
简介:税收是国家财政收入的重要来源,是宏观经济调控的重要杠杆。据统计,从1994年开征增值税至1997年,工商税收合计完成23979亿元。其中,增值税为11359亿元,占全部工商税收的47.8%。从1998年看,全国工商税收完成8552亿元,其中增值税、消费税“两税”收入完成4556亿元,占全部工商税收入的53.3%。根据国民经济计划的安排,今年税收计划为9460亿元:其中增值税、消费税收入为4828亿元,任务十分艰巨。因为近年来,在工商税收连续超额完成任务的情况下,增值税收入占工商税收比重却逐年下降,从1994年的58.8%,降至1998年55.3%。这种状况莫不与我国未建立规范的增值税检查制度有