简介:Amethodofestimationofoccurrenceprobabilityofearthquakeintensityatagivensitefromtheresultsofaten-yearscaleofearthquakepredictiondescribedwithaprobabilityofoccurrenceinagiven"predictioncell"isproposedinthispaper.2316citiesandtownsinChinawereanalyzedbyusingthismethod.TheprobabilityofintensityⅥ-Ⅸweregivenforeverycity.Theseresultscanbeusedfortheearthquakeinsurance,lossestimation,andplanningofdisasterprotection.
简介:Theprobabilityofearthquakeoccurrenceintheforthcoming50yearsintheareaconfinedbyLinfen,Taiyuan,andDaixianbasins,ShanxiProvinceiscomputedbyusingadualPoissonmodelandthefutureseismicriskisalsocomputedbyusingaprobabilitydistributionintegratedwiththeattenuationlaw.