简介：ＴｈｅｂｖａｌｕｅｓｐｅｃｔｒｕｍａｎｄηｖａｌｕｅｂｙｔｈｅｍｏｍｅｎｔｍｅｔｈｏｄＴｏｒｕＯｕｃｈｉ（大内）ＤｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔｏｆＥａｒｔｈＳｃｉｅｎｃｅｓ，ＦａｃｕｌｔｙｏｆＳｃｉｅｎｃｅ，ＫｏｂｅＵｎｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙ，Ｋｏｂｅ，６５７，...

简介：ＣａｌｃｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｂｖａｌｕｅａｎｄｉｔｓａｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｉｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｄｉｃｔｉｏｎＨｕａ－ＣｈｅｎＤＵＡＮ（段华琛）；Ｃｈａｎｇ－ＱｉｎｇＦＡＮ（范长青）ａｎｄＹｕｅ－ＭｉｎＸＵ（许跃敏）（Ｓｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌ...

简介：Intheestimationofseismictendency,usingGutenberg-Richter￠sb-valueandusingHurstexponentaretwocom-monlyusedmethods.Basedonthefractalgeometryofearthquaketimeseries,wepointoutthatthesetwomethodscorrelatetoeachother.IntheperspectiveoffractionalBrownianmotion(FBM),anearthquakesequencewithb>3/4andthatwithb<3/4havedifferentdynamicproperties.

简介：本文讨论可信的历史地震资料和现代化仪器记录资料的统一使用问题。

简介：Basedonisotropiclinearporoelastictheoryandundertheundrainedcondition,wesummarizethreeequationsconnectingtheSkempton’scoefficientBwiththegroundwaterlevel.Afteranalysis,weproposeamethodtocalculatetheSkempton’scoefficientBaccordingtotherelationshipbetweenwaterlevelandtidalstrain.WiththismethodwecangetthevalueofBwithouttheearthquakeoccurrence,whichcanprovidethehighfrequencywavesforresearch.Besides,wecanalsogetthein-suitSkempton’scoefficientBwithouttheexperimentofrockphysics.Inaddition,weanalyzetheobserveddataofChangpingstationrecordedingroundwatermonitoringnetwork(abv.,GMN)beforeandaftertheWenchuanMS8.0withthismethod,andfindoutthere’saslightchangeofthevalueofBaftertheseismicwavespassedby,whichimpliesthatthepropagationofseismicwavesmayhavebroughtsomevariationstotheporoelasticmediumofthewell.

简介：Inthisstudy,weadoptanimprovedBayesianapproachbasedonfree-knotB-splinebasestostudythespatialandtemporaldistributionoftheb-value.SynthetictestsshowthattheimprovedBayesianapproachhasasuperiorperformancecomparedtotheBayesianapproachaswellasthewidelyusedmaximumlikelihoodestimation(MLE)methodinfittingtherealvariationofb-values.WethenapplytheimprovedBayesianapproachtoNorthChinaandfindthattheb-valuehasaclearrelevancetoseismicity.Temporalchangesofb-valuesarealsoinvestigatedintwospecificareasofNorthChina.Weinterpretsharpdecreasesintheb-valuesasusefulmessagesinearthquakehazardanalysis.

简介：TheeffectsofmagnituderoundingandofthepresenceofnoiseintheroundedmagnitudesontheestimationoftheGutenberg–Richterb-valueareexplored,andthewaystocorrectfortheseeffectsareproposed.Fortypicalvalues,b=1androundingintervalDM=0.1,theroundingerrorisapproximately-10-3anditcanbecorrectedtoanegligibleapproximately-10-5.Forthesametypicalvalues,theeffectofnoisecanbelarger,dependingonthecharacteristicsofthenoisedistribution;fornormallydistributednoisewithstandarddeviationr=0.1,thecorrectb-valuemaybeunderestimatedbyafactor*0.97.

简介：ＡｍｏｄｅｌｏｆｓｅｉｓｍｉｃｉｔｙｗｉｔｈｆｒａｃｔａｌｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅｓａｎｄａｐｒｅｌｉｍｉｎａｒｙｄｉｓｃｕｓｓｉｏｎｏｎｔｈｅｒｅｌａｔｉｏｂｅｔｗｅｅｎＤａｎｄｂｖａｌｕｅＨａｔ－ＫｕｎＪＩＡＮＧ（蒋海昆）ａｎｄＳｈｏｕ－ＺｈｏｎｇＤＩ...

简介：ＣｕｍｕｌａｔｉｖｅｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｃｙｂｖａｌｕｅｗｉｔｈｏｕｔｕｐｐｅｒｂｏｕｎｄｍａｇｎｉｔｕｄｅａｎｄｉｔｓｒｅｇｒｅｓｓｉｏｎｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎａｔｉｏｎＪｉａｎ－ＷｅｎＳＨＥＮ（沈建文）（ＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕｏｆＡｎｈｕｉＰ...

简介：本文通过对华北地区和西南地区完整地震目录按照均匀抽取和非均匀抽取2种原则进行抽取地震,得到了地震目录遗漏率和b值变化量间的经验关系式。结果表明,在进行非均匀抽取地震时,得到的地震目录遗漏率和b值的减小量间呈正比关系;在进行均匀抽取地震时,利用最小二乘法和极大似然法计算得到的b值变化较复杂,b值随地震目录遗漏率的增加,或为增加,或为减少。同时,在进行非均匀抽取地震时,地震目录遗漏率对极大似然法计算的b值影响大于最小二乘法计算的b值影响。

简介：TheTanlu(Tancheng-Lujiang)faultisoneofthemajorstructuresineasternChina,whichcutsacrossdifferentblocksandcontrolsthetectonicactivity.UsingtheseismicdatafromtheChinaEarthquakeNetworksCenter,weinvestigatethespatialvariationsoftheb-valueintheDabie-Sulu(Jiangsu-Shandong)organicbeltbycalculatingtheb-valueofeachgrid(1°×1°)from1970to2010.Thestudyshowsthat:theb-valueissmallerintheTanlufaultanditsadjacentarea,whichmightsuggestthatthemajorearthquakerecurrenceperiodisrelativelylongduetothelowerfrequencyofsmallearthquakeactivity.InbothsidesofTanlufault,theb-valueishigherattheedgeofSulublockandtheeasternpartofDabieorogenicbelt.ThebvaluesarehigherinNorthChinacentralorogenicbelt,andsmallearthquakeactivitywhichoccurredalongthecentralorogenicbeltisfrequent.Additionally,combinedwithgeologicalandgeophysicalstudy,wefindthattheb-valuehasacertaincorrespondencerelationshipwiththelithologicdistribution,whichinformsusthatseismicactivityfeaturesarecloselyrelatedtotheinhomogeneousmediainthecrust.

简介：

简介：SeismicityoftheEarth(MC4.5)wascompiledfromNEIC,IRISandISCcataloguesandusedtocomputeb-valuebasedonvarioustimewindows.Itisfoundthatcontinuouscyclicb-variationsoccuronbothlongandshorttimescales,thelatterbeingofmuchhighervalueandsometimesinexcessof0.7oftheabsoluteb-value.Thesevariationsoccurnotonlyyearlyormonthly,butalsodaily.Beforetheoccurrenceoflargeearthquakes,b-valuesstartincreasingwithvariablegradientsthatareaffectedbyforeshocks.Insomecases,thegradientisreducedtozeroortoanegativevalueafewdaysbeforetheearthquakeoccurrence.Ingeneral,calculatedb-valuesattainmaxima1daybeforelargeearthquakesandminimasoonaftertheiroccurrence.Bothlinearregressionandmaximumlikelihoodmethodsgivecorrelatable,butvariableresults.Itisfoundthatanexpandingtimewindowtechniquefromafixedstartingpointismoreeffectiveinthestudyofb-variations.Thecalculatedb-variationsforthewholeEarth,itshemispheres,quadrantsandtheepicentralregionsofsomelargeearthquakesareofbothlocalandregionalcharacter,whichmayindicatethatinsuchcases,thegeodynamicprocessesactingwithinacertainregionhaveamuchregionaleffectwithintheEarth.Theb-variationshavelongbeenknowntovarywithanumberoflocalandregionalfactorsincludingtectonicstresses.Theresultsreportedhereindicatethatgeotectonicstressremainsthemostsignificantfactorthatcontrolsb-variations.ItisfoundthatforearthquakeswithMwC7,anincreaseofabout0.20intheb-valueimpliesastressincreasethatwillresultinanearthquakewithamagnitudeoneunithigher.

简介：DearContributors,ReadersandFriends:2011milestonesthetenthanniversaryoftheJournalofEarthquakeEngineeringandEngineeringVibration.wefirstwanttotakethisopportunitytoexpressourgratitudetothoseretiringmembersoftheEditorialBoardfortheirvaluablecontributionsinthepast,andtowelcomethosewhojoinedtheEditorialBoardthisyear.AswementionedinourmessagetoyouinDecember2010,effective20ll,thejournalisofficiallyco-sponsoredbytheHuixianEarthquake

简介：Inthispaper,basedonGansuDigitalSeismicNetworkdatasince1990,wecalculatedb-valueand⊿b-valueoftheneighborhoodareabeforethe2013Minxian-ZhangxianM_S6.6,earthquake.Theresultsshowthattheearthquakeoccurredatthemarginofthesignificantlylowerb-valueareainsoutheastofGansuandbeforetheearthquaketheneighborhoodareahadanobviouslyabnormal⊿b-value.Fromtheearthquakeandthespatialdistributionoflowb-value,theregionstillhasthepossibilityofgeneratingdangerousstrongearthquakes.

简介：本文以地震带为统计单元,采用检验历史地震完整性的统计方法、年平均发生率法、比例系数法和史料考证。讨论华南沿海地震带历史地震的可靠性和与现代仪器记录资料统一使用的问题,确定合适的b值,进而较好的估计代表地震活动水平的年平均发生率ν值,为地震危险性分析提供可靠的地震带活动性参数

简介：本文引进了震级——频度关系的b值谱的概念,给出了计算b值谱的矩方法,对我国华北和西北地区分别计算和分析了以半年为单位的不同时段M_L≥3.0地震的b值谱线。所得结果表明,在研究区内发生6级左右以上大震前半年至一年半之内,b值谱的形态要出现较明显的前兆异常变化,因而可在地震预报中加以应用。

简介：b值是研究地震活动的重要指标,其广泛应用于地震危险性分析和地震预测研究之中,与实际资料的完整性、样本量的大小、计算方法等因素有着重要的关系。常见的b值计算方法有最小二乘法和最大似然法,样本量的大小对这2种方法影响很大。本文利用蒙特卡罗模拟地震目录和汾渭地震带实际目录作为样本,从中抽取不同大小的样本量进行计算,研究不同样本量下这2种方法计算得到的b值与设定值或真实值之间的差别。结果表明,最小二乘法需要的最低样本量为1000,最大似然法为200;当样本量达不到要求时,计算出的b值是不可靠的;由于对样本量的要求不同,前者适用于计算区域的整体b值,而后者在研究某区域b值在时间轴上的变化方面更有优势。本研究为确定2种b值计算方法对样本量的最低要求提供了参考依据。

简介：主要对ZD8B与ZD-8地电仪在观测的精度及稳定性、动态范围、抗干扰能力等方面进行了评价，并对观测数据进行了分析，认为地电仪观测资料可作为地震预报的可靠依据之一。

简介：为了核实赤峰1号井2014年初气汞异常现象,安装ATG-6138M测汞仪与原DFG-B测汞仪进行对比观测。ATG-6138M测汞仪观测到赤峰1号井房内空气汞浓度明显高于井孔内逸出汞浓度,表明观测井房可能存在汞污染问题。两台仪器同步观测井孔内逸出气汞浓度结果表明,ATG-6138M测汞仪测试结果稳定,动态清晰,而DFG-B测汞仪观测误差较大。对比DFG-B测汞仪与ATG-6138M测汞仪校准结果认为,DFG-B测汞仪已不能正常观测汞浓度的变化,存在捕汞管老化等仪器问题。综合分析表明,赤峰1号井DFG-B测汞仪存在环境汞污染和仪器老化等因素,且集气装置不符合地震行业标准技术要求,2014年初出现的气汞浓度异常信度不高,不能作为与地震孕育有关的前兆异常信息。