Influence of Arctic Oscillation on Winter climate over China

(整期优先)网络出版时间:2003-02-12
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InthisstudytherelationshipbetweentheArcticOscillation(AO)andclimateinChinainborealwinterareinvestigated.Correlationanalysisforthelast41yearsshowsthatthewintertemperatureandprecipitationinChinachangeinphasewithAO.Highpostiviecorrelation(>0.04)betweentemperatureandAOappearsinthenorthernChina.HighcorrelationcoefficientsbetweenprecipitationandAOcoverthesouthernChina(closetotheSouthChyinaSea)andthecentralChina(between30°-40°Nandeastof-100°E),withthevaluesvaryingbetween+0.3and+0.4.ItisfoundthatduringthepastseveraldecadestheprecipitationwasstronglyaffectedbyAO,butforthetemperaturetheSiberianHighplaysamoreimportantrole.AttheinterdecadaltimescaletheAOhassignificantinfluenceonbothtemperatureandpreciptiation.MultivariateregressionanalysisdemonstratesthatAOandtheSiberianHighrelatedvarianceintemperatureandprecipitationis35%and11%respectively,Forprecipitation,howevertheportionisratherlow,implyingthatsomeotherfactorsmayberesponsibleforthechangesinprecipitation,inadditiontoAOandtheSiberianHigh.