摘要
TheinfluenceoftheArcticatmosphereonNorthernHemispheremidlatitudetroposphericweatherandclimateisexploredbycomparingtheskilloftwosetsof14-dayweatherforecastexperimentsusingtheECMWFmodelwithandwithoutrelaxationoftheArcticatmospheretowardsERA-Interimreanalysisdataduringtheintegration.TwopathwaysareidentifiedalongwhichtheArcticinfluencesmidlatitudeweather:apronouncedoneoverAsiaandEasternEurope,andasecondaryoneoverNorthAmerica.Ingeneral,linkagesarefoundtobestrongest(weakest)duringborealwinter(summer)whentheamplitudeofstationaryplanetarywavesovertheNorthernHemisphereisstrongest(weakest).NodiscernibleArcticimpactisfoundovertheNorthAtlanticandNorthPacificregion,whichisconsistentwithpredominantlysouthwesterlyflow.Ananalysisoftheflow-dependenceofthelinkagesshowsthatanomalousnortherlyflowconditionsincreasetheArcticinfluenceonmidiatitudeweatheroverthecontinents.Specifically,ananomalousnortherlyflowfromtheKaraSeatowardsWestAsialeadstocoldsurfacetemperatureanomaliesnotonlyoverWestAsiabutalsooverEasternandCentralEurope.Finally,theresultsofthisstudyarediscussedinthelightofpotentialmidlatitudebenefitsofimprovedArcticpredictioncapabilities.
出版日期
2018年01月11日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)