简介：I.Someoftheworld'smajorpowershavetakenvariousactionsbothathomeandabroadtomeetthechangingsituation.GorgeW.Bushwassuccessfullyre-electedwithbothanElectoralCollegemajorityandamajorityofthepopularvoteswhiletheU.S.RepublicanPartygainedcontrolofthecongress.TheBushcabinetshufflewasabouttocompletewithCondoleezzaRicetobetheSecretaryofStateandtheinfluenceofconservatiststobefurtherincreased.

简介：I'mverygladtohavetheopportunitytoattendthe4^thChinese-GermanSymposiumonInternationalSecurityco-sponsoredbytheInternationalDepartmentoftheCPCCentralCommittee(IDCPCCC),theChineseAssociationforInternationalUnderstanding(CAFIU)andtheFriedrichEbertStiftung(FES)andexchangeviewswithyouhereonthecurrentinternationalsituationandsecurity.Asyouallknow,

简介：FromJanuary16-21,the4^thWorldSocialForumwasheldinMumbaiIndia.Uptonow,themovingcrowdsatthevenue,thecriesfromtheworldvulnerablegroupsandthesongsanddancescontainingdreamsforabetterfuturearestillechoinginmymind.

简介：I'mverygladthattheSymposiumonInternationalSecuritycosponsoredbytheInternationalDepartmentoftheCPCCentralCommittee(IDCPCCC),theChineseAssociationforInternationalUnderstanding(CAFIU)andtheFriedrichEbertStiftung(FES),isheldinBeijing.Here,I'dliketoextendmywarmestwelcometotheChineseandforeignexperts,scholarsandfriendspresenthereandthankyouforyourenthusiasticsupportforthisSymposium.

简介：FromNov15to17,the4thNishanForumonWorldCivilization(NishanForum)washeldinQufucity(thebirthplaceofConfucius),ShandongProvince.XuJialu,Vice-Chairmanofthe9thand10thNPCStandingCommitteedeliveredaspeechattheopeningceremony.Morethan200representatives(includingabout40foreigners)includingpoliticians,expertsandmembersfrom

简介：It’sagreatpleasureformetocomebacktoSouthAfricatoattendthe4thmeetingofChina-AfricaThinkTanksForum.Thiswouldprovidemewithanexcellentopportunitytomeetoldfriendsandgetacquaintedwithnewfriends.Therefore,I’dliketoexpressmysincereappreciationtotheorganizers,sponsors,supportersandparticipantsoftheforumandwishthemeetingacompletesuccess!ThetitleofmyspeechisACHINESE’

简介：历史上陆海复合型国家的大战略取向转型有四种表现形式，即战略重心、攻防政策、制衡倾向、联盟战略，其中，战略重心的转型居于主导地位。影响陆海复合型国家战略转型的要素有6个：战略地理结构、攻防平衡、地缘威胁、资源汲取、战略学说、战略决策。笔者依托上述6个因素，分析了德国（1890-1918年）与苏联（1962-1982年）的战略转型成因和历史经验教训。笔者分析了中国战略转型面临的主要挑战和限制：地缘威胁的双重易受伤害性导致海陆资源分配分散化问题；先天地理条件的限制；联盟的可获性和有效性较低；避免过度扩张倾向；保持战略决策的连贯性。中国的战略转型最容易克服的可能是技术革新，最难克服的是战略决策和威胁判断中国要保持经济建设与国防投入、内政与外交、海权与陆权、大战略手段和目的等之间的平衡协作，注重防御性和威慑性的战略取向，加强危机管控，兼顾海权的国际公共安全产品属性。