简介：Basedonthefittingonpaleoearthquakedataofintra-plateregionsinthenorthernpartofChi-naandgivingastatisticalmodeloftimeinterdependence,thepotentialdamageearthquakesinadefinitefutureperiodandcharacteristicsofpresentshocksalongtheLingwufaulthavebeenanalyzedbyusingdangerousprobabilityfunctionandsomenewdataconcerned.Wehavein-ferredthatthefaulthasenteredaperiodthatearthquakeswillprobablyoccur.ThereexistsapotentialdangerthatastrongearthquakewithMs7.0-7.5willoccurin10-100a.
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