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21 个结果
  • 简介:Cardiovasculardisease(CVD)isthenumberonecauseofmortalityworld-wideandplacesahighmedicalandsocioeconomicburdenondevelopingcountries.OurunderstandingofCVDanditsevolutionoverthelast100yearshasalteredconsiderably.ReasonsfortheincreasedrateofCVDinthedevelopingworldincluderapidurbanizationandthedemographicshiftknownasthemodernepidemiologictransition.ThecaseforinterventionisbasedonbothmajorhumanandeconomicimpactsofCVD.Ithasbeenestimatedthatcost-effectiveinterventionsindevelopingcountrieswithahighburdenofCVDcouldresultinaprojected24millionlivessaved.ThisreductioninCVDmortalitycouldreduceeconomiccostsby$8billion.Approachestointerventioninclude:1)cardiovascularhealthpromotionandCVDpreventionand2)actionplansadvocatedbytheWorldHealthOrganization.

  • 标签: GLOBAL HEALTH CARDIOLOGY CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE URBANIZATION
  • 简介:AccordingtotheWorldHealthOrganization,"physicalinactivityhasbeenidentifiedasthefourthleadingriskfactorforglobalmortalitycausinganestimated3.2million(annual)deathsglobally.”1IntheResearchHighlightofthefirstissueofthisjournal,Ireviewedtheevidencewhichsupportsthenotionthatphysicalinactivitycancostlives,intermsoflongevityandqualityoflife,especiallyinthelastfewyearsofourlives.2Here,Iwouldliketoreviewtheliteraturethatrevealsthefinancialburdenduetophysicalinactivity.

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  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Pancreatitis is a common disease of the digestive system. Acute pancreatitis is one of the most common reasons for gastrointestinal hospital admission, and chronic pancreatitis significantly reduces quality of life. However, national epidemiological data on pancreatitis in China are lacking. This study aimed to quantify the disease burden of pancreatitis in China from 1990 to 2019.Methods:This study was based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 dataset. Age-standardized rates of incidence (ASIR), prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were used to describe the disease burden of pancreatitis, and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to indicate the average change in age-standardized rates. We also described the trend of pancreatitis-related mortality and DALYs, which are attributable to alcohol use by age and sex.Results:From 1990 to 2019, the ASIR, ASPR, ASMR, and age-standardized DALYs of pancreatitis in China decreased by 10.90, 1.50, 0.49, and 15.54 per 100,000, respectively, with EAPCs of -1.35 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: -1.67, -1.02) and -0.37 (95% UI: -0.43, -0.31), -2.01 (95% UI: -2.07, -1.94) and -2.32 (95% UI: -2.37, -2.28), respectively. Recently, the numbers of incident and prevalent cases have risen, with estimates of 380,018 (95% UI: 308,669-462,767) and 493,765 (95% UI: 416,705-578,675), respectively, in 2019. Among men, the disease burden of pancreatitis was more severe than among women, and with variances in the distribution among different age groups. Age-standardized DALYs caused by alcohol-related pancreatitis have gradually worsened in the past decade, accounting for 34.09% of the total in 2019.Conclusions:The disease burden of pancreatitis in China has declined in the past 30 years, but the exacerbation of population aging poses a challenge to prevention and control of pancreatitis. Alcohol use has gradually become an important factor in the disease burden of pancreatitis in recent years.

  • 标签: Alcohol use Global disease burden Incidence Mortality DALYs Pancreatitis China
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  • 简介:AfterexpandingthecapacitybywideningthetrolleyoftheNo.3sinteringmachine,severeunevensinteringoccurredinthetrolley’slateraldistribution,whichaffectedtheoutputandqualityofsinter.Inthisstudy,thequantitativeevaluationindicesoftheburdenuniformdistributioninthewidthdirectionofthesinteringmachineisintroducedforthefirsttime.Bymeasuringthetemperatureofdischargedgas,aplanetemperaturefieldisconstructed.Throughanalyzingthetemperaturefieldandtheburdenlayer’sdifferentialthermalequilibrium,amathematicalmodelforevaluatingtheindices,whichisanonlinereflectionofthedegreeofuniformdistribution,isbuilt.Followingtheimprovementsinburdendistributionequipment,theoptimizationoftheignitionsystemandthedynamicadjustmentoftheprocess,theproblemofunevensinteringinlateraldistributionhasbeensolved,andthequalityandtheyieldofsinterhavebeenimproved.

  • 标签: 烧结技术 均匀分布 负担 监测 定量评价指标 横向分布
  • 简介:Thedistributionofreducinggasinashaftfurnacedominatesthetemperatureprofile,gasutilizationratio,metallizationdegreeandistheoverwhelmingfactorforstable,highproductivitiesandlow-energy-consumptionoperation.Atthesametime,thedistributionofgasflowismainlydeterminedbythepositionofgasinlet,thepackedbedporositydistributionaswellasitschangeduetothedifferenceonthemodeoftopchargeandbottomdischarge.Wheninjectingpositionoftheprocessisfixed,thechargemodeistheonlymeansforregulatingthegasflowdistribution.Inthispaper,anumericalsimulationmodelofburdendistributionintheshaftfurnaceofCOREX3000hasbeendevelopedtoanalyzetheporositydistributionunderthedifferentchargemodesbymeansofDiscreteElementMethod(DEM).Theeffectsoftheparticlesizeanditsdistributionunderconditionsofdifferentchargebatches,chuteangle,stokelineontheburdensurfaceshapeandburdenbedparticlesizedistributionandsegregationwereinvestigated,andthentheporositydistributionintheshaftofcorrespondingchargingpatternwasquantitativelyaccessed.Therefore,theresultscanbeusedtooptimizethechargepatternsbaseonrequiredgasdistribution.

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  • 简介:Objective:Lungcancerisoneoftheleadingcancersandmajorcausesofcancermortalityworldwide.Theeconomicburdenassociatedwiththehighmortalityoflungcancerishigh,whichaccountsfornearly$180billiononaglobalscalein2008.Thispaperaimstounderstandtheeconomicburdenoflungcancerintermsofdisabilityadjustedlifeyears(DALY)inAustralia,thePhilippines,andSingapore.Methods:Theyearsoflifelost(YLL)andyearslostduetodisability(YLD)werecalculatedusingtheformuladevelopedbyMurrayandLopezin1996aspartofacomprehensiveassessmentofmortalityanddisabilityfordiseases,injuriesandriskfactorsin1990andprojectedto2020.ThesameformulaisrepresentedintheGlobalBurdenofDiseasetemplateprovidedbytheWorldHealthOrganization.Appropriateassumptionsweremadewhendatawereunavailableandprojectionswereperformedusingregressionanalysistoobtaindatafor2015.Results:ThetotalDALYsduetolungcancerinAustralia,thePhilippines,andSingaporewere91,695,38,584,and12,435,respectively,andthecorrespondingDALYratesperapopulationof1,000were4.0,0.4,and2.2,respectively,withadiscountrateof3%.WhenresearcherscalculatedDALYswithoutthediscountrate,theburdenofdiseaseincreasedsubstantially;theDALYswere117,438inAustralia,50,977inthePhilippines,and16,379inSingapore.Overall,YLLorprematuredeathaccountedformorethan95%ofDALYsinthesecountries.Conclusions:Strategiesforprevention,earlydiagnosis,andprompttreatmentmustbedevisedfordiseaseswherethemajorburdenisduetomortality.

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  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Cancer is one of the leading causes of death globally, but its burden is not uniform. GLOBOCAN 2020 has newly updated the estimates of cancer burden. This study summarizes the most recent changing profiles of cancer burden worldwide and in China and compares the cancer data of China with those of other regions.Methods:We conducted a descriptive secondary analysis of the GLOBOCAN 2020 data. To depict the changing global profile of the leading cancer types in 2020 compared with 2018, we extracted the numbers of cases and deaths in 2018 from GLOBOCAN 2018. We also obtained cancer incidence and mortality from the 2015 National Cancer Registry Report in China when sorting the leading cancer types by new cases and deaths. For the leading cancer types according to sex in China, we summarized the estimated numbers of incidence and mortality, and calculated China’s percentage of the global new cases and deaths.Results:Breast cancer displaced lung cancer to become the most leading diagnosed cancer worldwide in 2020. Lung, liver, stomach, breast, and colon cancers were the top five leading causes of cancer-related death, among which liver cancer changed from the third-highest cancer mortality in 2018 to the second-highest in 2020. China accounted for 24% of newly diagnosed cases and 30% of the cancer-related deaths worldwide in 2020. Among the 185 countries included in the database, China’s age-standardized incidence rate (204.8 per 100,000) ranked 65th and the age-standardized mortality rate (129.4 per 100,000) ranked 13th. The two rates were above the global average. Lung cancer remained the most common cancer type and the leading cause of cancer death in China. However, breast cancer became the most frequent cancer type among women if the incidence was stratified by sex. Incidences of colorectal cancer and breast cancer increased rapidly. The leading causes of cancer death varied minimally in ranking from 2015 to 2020 in China. Gastrointestinal cancers, including stomach, colorectal, liver, and esophageal cancers, contributed to a massive burden of cancer for both sexes.Conclusions:The burden of breast cancer is increasing globally. China is undergoing cancer transition with an increasing burden of lung cancer, gastrointestinal cancer, and breast cancers. The mortality rate of cancer in China is high. Comprehensive strategies are urgently needed to target China’s changing profiles of the cancer burden.

  • 标签: Cancer incidence Cancer mortality Changing profile China GLOBOCAN 2020 Worldwide
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Gallbladder and biliary tract cancer (GBTC) has greatly damaged the health of patients and is accompanied by a dismal prognosis. The worldwide distribution of GBTC shows extensive variance and the updated data in China is lacking. This study was to determine the current status, trends, and predictions in the burden of GBTC over the past 30 years in China.Methods:This was a descriptive, epidemiological, secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor Study 2019 data. Data including incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of GBTC in China by year, age, and sex were assessed. Joinpoint regression analysis was conducted to evaluate trends of disease burden due to GBTC from 1990 to 2019. Nordpred age-period-cohort analysis was applied for the projection of mortality and incidence due to GBTC from 2019 to 2044.Results:Nationally, there were 38,634 (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: 27,350–46,512) new cases and 47,278 (95% UI: 32,889–57,229) patients due to GBTC, causing 34,462 (95% UI: 25,220–41,231) deaths, and 763,584 (95% UI: 566,755–920,493) DALYs in 2019. Both cases and rates of burden owing to GBTC were heavier among males and at old age. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized rates of incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs of GBTC generally increased from 1990 to 2019, with average annual percentage change at 0.8% (95% confidential interval [CI]: 0.6–1.0%), 1.3% (95% CI: 1.1–1.5%), 0.4% (95% CI: 0.2–0.6%), and 0.2% (95% CI: 0.1–0.4%), respectively. Even though the age-standardized incidence rate and age-standardized mortality rate in both sexes were predicted to decline gradually from 2019 to 2044, the number of new cases and deaths were expected to grow steadily.Conclusions:GBTC is becoming a major health burden in China, particularly among males and older individuals. Given the aging population and increasing burden, effective strategies and measurements are urged to prevent or reduce the number of new cases and deaths of GBTC.

  • 标签: Gallbladder cancer Biliary tract cancer Global burden of disease China Prediction Aging
  • 简介:Inordertostabilisetheoperationoftheblastfurnaceandtoraiseitsoperationefficiency,researchworksfortheapplicationofmicrowaveandlaserscanningtechnologiestothemeasurementhavebeenintensivelycarriedoutatChinaSteelCorporation(CSC).Tomonitortheburdenprofileduringtheoperation,amicrowaveburdenprofilemeasuringsystemwasdeveloped.Thesystemconsistsofaradarunit,asignalprocessingsystem,andadrivingdevicewhichiscapableofrotatingtheradartoscantheburdensurfaceinaspecifieddirection.Anitrogencoolingsystemwasdesignedtoprotectthemeasurementsystem.AprototypeburdenprofilemeterwassuccessfullytestedinNo.1blastfurnacein2008,andapermanentonewasinstalledatNo.3blastfurnace.ThesystemhasprovidedusefulinformationforadjustingthechargingsequenceinNo.3blastfurnace.Foranotherapplication,3-Dlaserscanningtechnologyisemployedtomonitortheblastfurnaceliningcondition.Tothisend,adataregistrationmethodhasbeendeveloped,throughwhichtwomeasuredrangeimagessensedatdifferentperiodandlocationscanbefittedintothesamecoordinatesystem.Inpractice,theerosionoftheblastfurnaceliningcanbeestimatedwhenthecurrentinnerprofileiscomparedwiththattakenbeforetheblow-inoperation.ThistechnologyisalsoadoptedtoevaluatetheperformanceofgunningoperationintheblastfurnacesatCSC.

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  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Regulated upon activation, normal T-cell expressed, and secreted (RANTES) is a chemokine actively involved in the initiation and progression of atherosclerosis (AS), which is the major cause of ischemic cerebrovascular disease (ICVD). This study aimed to determine the associations between circulating RANTES level and overall AS conditions of cardiac and cerebral vessel beds in patients with ICVD.Methods:Patients with ICVD admitted to the department of neurology of Xuanwu Hospital from April 1, 2019 to June 30, 2019 were prospectively enrolled in the study. Plasma RANTES level was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay to represent the circulating RANTES level. The integrated AS burden of the cervicocephalic and coronary arteries was examined using computed tomography angiography and reflected by "cardio-cerebral AS burden (CCAB)" as a continuous variable. Then, the relationship of plasma RANTES level and CCAB in patients with ICVD was analyzed by correlation analyses and general linear models.Results:A total of 40 patients with ICVD were included in the study. There was a significant positive correlation between CCAB and plasma RANTES level in ICVD (r = 0.786, P < 0.001), independent of age, sex, acute or chronic phase of ICVD, and mono or dual antiplatelet therapy (adjusted B for ln RANTES, 12.063; 95% confidence interval, 7.572-16.533). The association of plasma RANTES level with AS conditions (burden, severity, and extent) in single cardiac or cerebral vessel bed was similar to that with CCAB, but the correlation coefficient for CCAB was higher (increment ranged from 0.126 to 0.397).Conclusions:Plasma RANTES level was an independent indicator for the integrated AS burden of the cervicocephalic and coronary arteries in ICVD. Comprehensive evaluation of AS conditions using the novel continuous index CCAB might be important in revealing the systematic relationship between circulating RANTES and AS in patients with ICVD.

  • 标签: Plasma RANTES Cardiocerebral atherosclerosis burden Ischemic cerebrovascular disease Cervicocephalic artery Coronary artery
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Aspirin-exacerbated respiratory disease (AERD) is an aggressive inflammatory disorder of the upper and lower respiratory tract. Corticosteroids, leukotriene modifiers, endoscopic sinus surgery (ESS), aspirin (ASA) desensitization, and biological immu-nomodulators are currently used to treat the disorder.Objective:The objective of this study was to determine the psychosocial impact of ESS and ASA desensitization on AERD patients.Methods:All AERD patients who underwent complete ESS were divided into two cohorts based on ASA desensitization status. The psychosocial metrics of the SNOT-22 were collected and analyzed at the following time points: pre-operative, 1-month, 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month after ESS.Results:One hundred and eighty-four AERD patients underwent ESS from November 2009 to November 2018. From this group, 130 patients underwent ASA desensitization (AD cohort) and 54 patients remained non-desensitized (ND cohort). AD patients showed a significantly greater reduction in total SNOT-22 scores over the study period compared to ND patients (p = 0.0446). Analysis of SNOT-22 psychosocial metrics showed a significantly greater improvement in patient productivity in the AD cohort when compared to the ND cohort (p = 0.0214). Further, a sub-group analysis accounting for subject attrition showed a significantly greater improvement in both productivity and concentration in AD patients when compared to the ND cohort (productivity: p = 0.0068; concentration: p = 0.0428).Conclusions:ESS followed by ASA desensitization decreases the overall psychosocial burden in AERD patients with a significant improvement in perceived productivity and concentration. This has significant implications given the psychosocial impact of chronic diseases.

  • 标签: Psychosocial domain AERD Aspirin desensitization Sinus surgery
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Despite the recent advances in treatments for rheumatoid arthritis (RA), there are still unmet needs in disease outcomes. This study aimed to analyze the satisfaction with drug therapies for RA according to the levels of disease severity (patientassessed) and proportions of treatment cost to household income.Methods:This was a subgroup study of a cross-sectional study in patients with RA and their physicians. The patients were subdivided into different subgroups based on their self-assessed severity of RA and on the proportions of treatment cost to household income (<10%, 10-30%, 31-50%, and >50%). The Treatment Satisfaction Questionnaire for Medication version II was used to assess patients’ treatment satisfaction.Results:When considering all medications, effectiveness, convenience, and global satisfaction scores were lower in the severe and moderate RA subgroups than those in the mild and extremely mild RA subgroups (all P < 0.001). Effectiveness, side effects, and convenience scores were higher in the <10% subgroup compared to those in the >50% subgroup (all P < 0.05). Global satisfaction score was higher in the <10% subgroup than that in the 31% to 50% subgroup (F = 13.183, P = 0.004). For biological diseasemodifying anti-rheumatic drugs, effectiveness and convenience scores were lower in the severe RA subgroup than those in the extremely mild RA subgroup (both P < 0.05). Convenience score was higher in the <10% subgroup compared to that in the 31% to 50% and >50% subgroups (F = 12.646, P = 0.005). Global satisfaction score was higher in the <10% subgroup than that in the 31% to 50% subgroup (F = 8.794, P = 0.032).Conclusion:Higher disease severity and higher financial burden were associated with lower patient satisfaction.

  • 标签: Disease severity Rheumatoid arthritis Treatment cost Treatment satisfaction
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Despite major reductions in malaria burden across Myanmar, clusters of the disease continue to persist in specific subregions. This study aimed to assess the predictors of test positivity among people living in Paletwa Township of Chin State, an area of persistently high malaria burden.Methods:Four villages with the highest malaria incidence from Paletwa Township were purposively selected. The characteristics of 1045 subjects seeking malaria diagnosis from the four assigned village health volunteers from January to December, 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Their household conditions and surroundings were also recorded using a checklist. Descriptive statistics and logistic regression models were applied to investigate potential associations between individual and household characteristics and malaria diagnosis.Results:In 2017, the Paletwa township presented 20.9% positivity and an annual parasite index of 46.9 cases per 1000 people. Plasmodium falciparum was the predominant species and accounted for more than 80.0% of all infections. Among 1045 people presenting at a clinic with malaria symptoms, 31.1% were diagnosed with malaria. Predictors for test positivity included living in a hut [adjusted odds ratios (a OR): 2.3, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.2-4.6], owning farm animals (aOR: 1.7, 95% CI: 1.1-3.6), using non-septic type of toilets (aOR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.1-8.4), presenting with fever (aOR: 1.9, 95% CI: 1.1-3.0), having a malaria episode within the last year (aOR: 2.9, 95% CI: 1.4-5.8), traveling outside the village in the previous 14 days (aOR: 4.5, 95% CI: 1.5-13.4), and not using bed nets (a OR: 3.4, 95% CI: 2.3-5.1). There were no statistically significant differences by age or gender in this present analysis.Conclusions:The results from this study, including a high proportion of P. falciparum infections, little difference in age, sex, or occupation, suggest that malaria is a major burden for these study villages. Targeted health education campaigns should be introduced to strengthen synchronous diagnosis-seeking behaviors, tighten treatment adherence, receiving a diagnosis after traveling to endemic regions, and using bed nets properly. We suggest increased surveillance, early diagnosis, and treatment efforts to control the disease and then to consider the local elimination.

  • 标签: Malaria Trend Risk Endemic area Myanmar
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Hepatitis B is a viral infection that attacks the liver and can cause both potentially life-threatening acute and chronic liver disease. China has the world’s largest burden of hepatitis B and is considered to be a major contributor toward the goal of World Health Organization (WHO) of eliminating hepatitis B virus (HBV) as a global health threat by 2030. This study aimed to analyze data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) to determine the trends in mortality of liver disease due to hepatitis B in China between 1990 and 2019 and the gap with the WHO’s goal.Methods:Annual deaths and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of liver disease due to hepatitis B in China between 1990 and 2019 were collected from GBD 2019. We calculated the percentage changes in deaths and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) of ASMRs of liver disease due to hepatitis B.Results:In China, deaths of total liver disease due to hepatitis B decreased by 29.13% from 229 thousand in 2016 to 162 thousand in 2019, and ASMR decreased by an average of 4.92% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.45–5.39%) per year in this period. For the spectrum of liver disease due to hepatitis B, deaths decreased by 74.83%, 34.71%, and 23.34% for acute hepatitis, cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases, and liver cancer from 1990 to 2019, respectively, and ASMRs of acute hepatitis (EAPC = –7.63; 95% CI: –8.25, –7.00), cirrhosis and other chronic liver diseases (EAPC= –4.15; 95% CI: –4.66, –3.65), and liver cancer (EAPC = –5.17; 95% CI: –6.00, –4.33) decreased between 1990 and 2019. The proportions of older adults aged ≥70 years among all deaths of the spectrum of liver disease due to hepatitis B increased from 1990 to 2019. Deaths of liver cancer due to hepatitis B increased by 7.05% from 2015 to 2019.Conclusions:Although a favorable trend in the mortality of liver disease due to hepatitis B was observed between 1990 and 2019, China still faces challenges in achieving the WHO’s goal of eliminating HBV as a public threat by 2030. Therefore, efforts to increase the coverage of diagnosis and treatment of liver disease due to hepatitis B, especially of liver cancer due to hepatitis B, are warranted in China.

  • 标签: Hepatitis B Acute hepatitis B Chronic liver disease Liver cirrhosis Liver neoplasms Global Burden of Disease Global Health China
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:China and the United States (US) ranked first and third in terms of new liver cancer cases and deaths globally in 2020. Therefore, a comprehensive assessment of trends in the incidence of primary liver cancer with four major etiological factors between China and the US during the past 30 years with age-period-cohort (APC) analyses is warranted.Methods:Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease 2019, and period/cohort relative risks were estimated by APC modeling from 1990 to 2019.Results:In 2019, there were 211,000 new liver cancer cases in China and 28,000 in the US, accounting for 39.4% and 5.2% of global liver cancer cases, respectively. For China, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) consecutively decreased before 2005 but increased slightly since then, whereas the ASIR continuously increased in the US. Among the four etiological factors of liver cancer, the fastest reduction in incidence was observed in hepatitis B virus-related liver cancer among Chinese women, and the fastest increase was in nonalcoholic steatosis hepatitis (NASH)-related liver cancer among American men. The greatest reduction in the incidence of liver cancer was observed at the age of 53 years in Chinese men (-5.2%/year) and 33 years in Chinese women (-6.6%/year), while it peaked at 58 years old in both American men and women (4.5%/year vs. 2.8%/year). Furthermore, the period risks of alcohol- and NASH-related liver cancer among Chinese men have been elevated since 2013. Simultaneously, leveled-off period risks were observed in hepatitis C viral-related liver cancer in both American men and women.Conclusions:Currently, both viral and lifestyle factors have been and will continue to play an important role in the time trends of liver cancer in both countries. More tailored and efficient preventive strategies should be designed to target both viral and lifestyle factors to prevent and control liver cancer.

  • 标签: Alcohol use-related liver cancer China Global Burden of Disease Hepatitis Hepatitis B virus Hepatitis C Incidence Liver neoplasms Life Style Middle aged Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease United States
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Despite almost two decades of well-funded and comprehensive response efforts by the Chinese Government, human immunodeficiency virus/acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) remains a major problem in China. Yet, few studies have recently examined long-term trends in HIV/AIDS prevalence, incidence, and mortality at the national level. This study aimed to determine the prevalence, incidence, and mortality trends for HIV/AIDS over the past 28 years in China.Methods:We conducted a descriptive, epidemiological, secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2017 data. To evaluate trends in prevalence, incidence, and mortality over the study period from 1990 to 2017, we calculated values for annual percentage change (APC) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using joinpoint regression analysis.Results:A significant increase in HIV/AIDS prevalence was observed for 1990 to 2009 (APC: 10.7; 95% CI: 10.4, 11.0; P < 0.001), and then remained stable for 2009 to 2017 (APC: 0.7; 95% CI: -0.3, 1.7; P = 0.1). A significant increase in HIV incidence was also observed for 1990 to 2005 (APC: 13.0; 95% CI: 12.6, 13.4; P < 0.001), and then a significant decrease was detected for 2005 to 2017 (APC: -6.5; 95% CI: -7.0, -6.1; P < 0.001). A significant increase in AIDS-related mortality rate was detected for 1990 to 2004 (APC: 10.3; 95% CI: 9.3, 11.3; P < 0.001), followed by a period of stability for 2004 to 2013 (APC: 1.3; 95% CI: -0.7, 3.3; P = 0.2), and then another significant increase for 2013 to 2017 (APC: 15.3; 95% CI: 8.7, 22.2; P < 0.001).Conclusions:Although prevalence has stabilized and incidence has declined, AIDS-related mortality has risen sharply in recent years. These findings suggest more must be done to bring people into treatment earlier, retain them in treatment more effectively, actively seek to reenter them in treatment if they dropout, and improve the quality of treatment and care regimens.

  • 标签: Prevalence Incidence Mortality HIV Trend China Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome
  • 简介:AbstractBackground:Non-transport unintentional injuries (NTUIs) are major public concerns, especially among children and adolescents in low- and middle-income countries. With environmental and cognitive changes, a recent systematic description of global trends and regional differences concerning NTUIs is urgently needed for the global agenda of relevant policy-making and intervention target findings.Methods:We used mortality, population, and socio-demographic-index (SDI) data from Global Burden of Disease 2019 to analyze the trends of NTUIs mortality. We applied the slope index of inequality (SII) and relative index of inequality (RII) to measure the absolute and relative inequality between countries and territories. The concentration curve and concentration index (CI) were also used to measure the inequality. We conducted a sensitivity analysis to make our findings credible.Results:In 2019, there were 205,000 deaths due to NTUIs among children and adolescents aged 5 to 24 years, which decreased from 375,000 in 1990. In 2019, the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) was 8.13 per 100,000, ranging from the lowest in the Netherlands (0.90 per 100,000) to the highest in the Solomon Islands (29.34 per 100,000). The low-middle SDI group had the highest ASMR of NTUIs, while the low SDI group had the slowest decrease. After excluding the death caused by "exposure to forces of nature" and "other unintentional injuries" , drowning accounted for the most deaths in almost every SDI group, gender, and age group, but the major causes of death varied in different subgroups. For example, animal contact was a major cause in low and low-middle SDI groups but less in high SDI groups, while high and high-middle SDI groups had a higher proportion of deaths for foreign body and poisonings. The SII showed a declining trend, but the RII and CI did not, which might indicate that inequality was persistent. Similar results were found in the sensitivity analysis.Conclusions:Despite the declining trend of the mortality rate and the narrowing gap between countries, there were still a large number of children and adolescents dying from NTUIs, and those experiencing social-economic disadvantages remained at high mortality. Embedding the prevention of NTUIs into sustainable development goals might contribute to the progress of reducing death and inequalities, which ensures that no one is left behind.

  • 标签: Children and adolescents Non-transport unintentional injuries Socio-demographic-index Inequality analysis Foreign body Poisoning Global Burden of Disease Cause of death Developing countries Drowning