学科分类
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7 个结果
  • 简介:ThispaperaimstoidentifythemaindrivingforceforchangesoftotalprimaryenergyconsumptioninBeijingduringtheperiodof1981-2005.Sectoralenergyusewasinvestigatedwhenregionaleconomicstructurechangedsignificantly.ThechangesoftotalprimaryenergyconsumptioninBeijingaredecomposedintoproductioneffects,structuraleffectsandintensityeffectsusingtheadditiveversionofthelogarithmicmeanDivisiaindex(LMDI)method.Aggregatedecompositionanalysisshowedthatthemajorcontributoroftotaleffectwasmadebytheproductioneffectfol-lowedbytheintensityeffect,andthestructuraleffectwasrela-tivelyinsignificant.Thetotalandproductioneffectswereallposi-tive.Incontrast,thestructuraleffectandintensityeffectwereallnegative.Sectoraldecompositioninvestigationindicatedthatthemosteffectivewaytoslowdownthegrowthrateoftotalprimaryenergyconsumption(TPEC)wastoreducetheproductionoftheenergy-intensiveindustrialsectorsandimprovingindustrialen-ergyintensity.Theresultsshowthatinthisperiod,Beijing'seconomyhasundergoneatransformationfromanindustrialtoaserviceeconomy.However,thestructuresofsectoralenergyusehavenotbeenchangedyet,andenergydemandshouldbein-creasinguntiltheenergy-intensiveindustrialproductiontobereducedandenergyintensityoftheregionreachesapeak.Assequenceenergyconsumptiondataofsub-sectorsarenotavailable,onlythefundamentalthreesectorsareconsidered:agriculture,industryandservice.However,furtherdecompositionintosecon-daryandtertiarysectorsisdefinitelyneededfordetailedinvesti-gations.

  • 标签: 北京 能源消耗 能源管理 经济结构
  • 简介:Basedonshift-sharemethod,thisarticleemploysregionalshare,structuralshiftandcompetitiveshifttoanalyzethestructuralbenefitandcompetitivepositionofagriculturalstructureinwesternChinabycomparingwithagriculture,foresting,stockbreedingandfishingbeforeandafterConversionofFarmlandtoForestandGrassland(CFFG).Thenauthorsdrawfollowingconclusion:whileCFFGprogramhasbeenputinpractice,theagriculturalstructureinwesternChinahassometypicalcharacteristics,suchasgrowthfaster,structuralpredominanceobviousandmorecompetitive.Butthecontributivenessfromthecompetitionisnottoomuchyet,andthestructuralbenefitofforestestateandstockbreedingarerestrained.

  • 标签: 农业结构 中国西部 结构比较 畜牧业结构 西方 后移
  • 简介:WhenaccountingtheCO2emissionsresponsibilityoftheelectricitysectorattheprovinciallevelinChina,itisofgreatsignificancetoconsiderthescopeofbothproducers’andtheconsumers’responsibility,sincethiswillpromotefairnessindefiningemissionresponsibilityandenhancecooperationinemissionreductionamongprovinces.Thispaperproposesanewmethodforcalculatingcarbonemissionsfromthepowersectorattheprovinciallevelbasedonthesharedresponsibilityprincipleandtakingintoaccountinterregionalpowerexchange.Thismethodcannotonlybeusedtoaccounttheemissionresponsibilitysharedbyboththeelectricityproductionsideandtheconsumptionside,butitisalsoapplicableforcalculatingthecorrespondingemissionresponsibilityundertakenbythoseprovinceswithnetelectricityoutflowandinflow.ThismethodhasbeenusedtoaccountforthecarbonemissionsresponsibilitiesofthepowersectorattheprovinciallevelinChinasince2011.Theempiricalresultsindicatethatcomparedwiththeproduction-basedaccountingmethod,thecarbonemissionsofmajorpower-generationprovincesinChinacalculatedbythesharedresponsibilityaccountingmethodarereducedbyatleast10%,butthoseofotherpower-consumptionprovincesareincreasedby20%ormore.Secondly,basedontheprincipleofsharedresponsibilityaccounting,InnerMongoliahasthehighestcarbonemissionsfromthepowersectorwhileHainanhasthelowest.Thirdly,fourprovinces,includingInnerMongolia,Shanxi,HubeiandAnhui,havethehighestcarbonemissionsfromnetelectricityoutflow-14milliontin2011,accountingfor74.42%oftotalcarbonemissionsfromnetelectricityoutflowinChina.Sixprovinces,includingHebei,Beijing,Guangdong,Liaoning,Shandong,andJiangsu,havethehighestcarbonemissionsfromnetelectricityinflow-11milliontin2011,accountingfor71.44%oftotalcarbonemissionsfromnetelectricityinflowinChina.Lastly,thispaperhasestimatedtheemissionfactorsofelectricity

  • 标签: SHARED RESPONSIBILITY power GENERATION efficiency carbon
  • 简介:NewtechnologiesareinurgentneedofunconventionalhydrocarbonexplorationanddevelopmentinChina.Thispaperprovidesabriefintroductionandanalysisofanewthree-dimensional(3D)geomechanicalrestorationmethoddevelopedinrecentyears.Afteranin-depthdiscussiononthetechnicalprincipleandspecificcharacteristicsofthefields,wedesignedafeasibleworkflowfortwooil-gasfieldswithgreatunconventionaloil-gasresourcepotentialsinChina(WeiyuanandJiulongshanoil-gasfieldsofSichuan).Afterdiscussingthemajorchallengesandlimitationsofthenewtechnology,wealsosuggestitsresearcheffortsandfutureapplicationprospectItisshownthatthenewtechnologywillbeaneffectivemethodtofacilitatetheexplorationanddevelopmentofunconventionaloilandgasresourcesinChina.

  • 标签: geomechanical RESTORATION RESERVOIR prediction UNCONVENTIONAL oil-gas
  • 简介:Thesmallhydropower(SHP)willbelesscompetitiveintheabsenceofenvironmentalvalue.Thelackofinformationhasbecomeanimportantobstaclechallengingdecision-makersinresource-usechoices.Thispaperisanapplicationofcontingentvaluationmethod(CVM)inruralChinatoestimatethewillingness-to-pay(WTP)forenvironmentalservicesprovidedbyexitinghydropowerstation.Usingthesingle-boundedanddichotomouschoiceCVM,theecologicalvalueofTongjiqiaoReservoir(TJQR)isestimated,andtheannualmeanWTPsofsingle-boundedanddouble-boundedCVMestimationare141.05and219.52Yuan(RMB)/a,respectively.The95%confidenceintervalofannualWTPonanaverageis118.47,166.79Yuan(RMB)/aand204.41,236.22(YuanRMB)/a,respectively.Incontrast,double-boundedmodelcouldobtainmuchmoreinformationofWTPoftheinvestigated,thusreducingtheconfidenceintervalofestimation,andenhancingtheestimationaccuracyoftheWTP.AccordingtotheestimatedmeanWTPofthedouble-boundedCVM,thetotalecosystemservicevalueoftheTJQRis15.54millionYuan(RMB).Comparedwiththeconventionalelectricityoffossilpowerandlargehydropower,theSHPwillbelesscompetitiveintheabsenceofnon-marketvalue,ignoringthattheenvironmentalimpactsofexistingSHPwillunderminethehealthydevelopmentofcleanenergysector.

  • 标签: 小水电代燃料 估计精度 生态价值 中国农村 估值 应用
  • 简介:基于傅里叶变换红外光谱技术,选取低浓度的CO、CO2、NO、NO2、SO2、HCI、HBr、HCN8种典型有毒有害气体进行定量分析。经过合理选择光谱区间、数据预处理、样本筛选以及确定模型参数后,建立PLS回归模型,并对模型回归曲线进行多项式修正。模型中各组分实际浓度与预测浓度的拟合回归系数达到0.99,校正集误差均方根SRMSEC低于15×10^-6。利用验证集对模型的预测性能进行检验,样本各组分的预测浓度误差小于满量程的±2%,各组分的预测误差均方根SRMSEP不超过20×10^-6。

  • 标签: 安全工程 气体定量分析 傅里叶变换红外光谱技术 混合毒性气体 PLS回归模型