简介:Deterrenceandcoercionaretwokindsofstrategies,thelatterbeingmoreaggressivethantheformer.TheU.S.Asia-PacificRebalancingstrategyisanimportantdiplomaticlegacyofObama'sadministration.FortheissuesinvolvingtheDiaoyuIslands,theSouthChinaSea,cybersecurity,DPRK'snuclearprogram,andIran'snuclearprogram,theU.S.hascarriedoutmilitarydeterrenceandnon-forcecoercionagainstChina.Butgenerally,thesearelow-levelcoercivemeasuresanddistinctfromthesevereeconomicsanctionanddiplomaticisolationimposedbytheU.S.onRussia,Syria,DPRKandIraninrecentyears.ConcerningissueswheretheU.S.andChinaholddistinctviews,therewouldbelessstrategicleewayforthetwocountries.IftheU.S.istostrengthendeterrenceandcoerciontowardsChina,Chinacanrespondmoreactivelyandeffectively,butitwillbemoredifficulttobuildanewmodelofChina-U.S.major-countryrelationship.
简介:NationalismthreatenstoimbuemodernJapanwitharationaleforincreasedmilitarism.Post-warnationalismwasareasonJapanhadlaunchedwarabroad,butthereinvigorationofJapanesenationalismisburgeoningundertwo-termPrimeMinisterShinzoAbe.Hissenseofnationalism,whichhasdomesticandinternationalrepercussions,hasdevelopedundertheinfluenceofhisfamilypoliticalgenes.Abe'snationalismisbeingcarriedoutininternalandexternalpolicies,withincreasinglynegativeimpactondomesticandregionalorder.Theinternationalcommunityshouldremainvigilantofhisright-wingpolitics.
简介:Theinternationalorderisbuiltontheprinciplesofsovereignequality,nationalinterests,greatpowersandrespectforhumanrightsamongothers.Internationalrivalryandcooperationhaveexistedsidebysideoverthepastfewcenturies,whilethefoundationsofaninternationalorderhavesolidified.Wearenowseeingatransitionintheinternationalorderthatrequiresnewinnovativewaysofthinking.Chinaisseenasthekeydriverofthesechangesbecauseofitsuniquestatus,patternofgrowthandfuturepotential.Chinashouldembracethishistoricopportunityandtakeonitsobligationstocontributetothebirthofanewmoderninternationalorder.
简介:InJapan'ssupportforASEANcountries'connectionbuildingcanbeseenitspolicyvisionsinfunctionalpositioning,geographicallayoutandconnotationconstitution.Aspartofasystematicpolicyframework,JapansupportsASEANtransregionalandoutside-regionalconnectionswiththeMekongsubregionasfocalpoint,pushesforwardmetropolitaninterconnectionofASEANcountrieswithJakartaapriority,promotesbuildinginfrastructure,developsrules,andconstructsbetterexternalenvironmentsforconnectivity,allwhileadvancingitsPartnershipforQualityInfrastructuretoattractASEANcountries'cooperation.BecauseofJapan'seconomicinterestsandgeopoliticalstrategytowardASEANcountries,Japan'spolicyinfluencesChina'sBeltandRoadInitiativeandChinashouldproperlyrespondtoJapan'sactions.
简介:Asapoliticalleader,USPresidentTrump'spersonalitytraitsaffecthispolicyorientationsandcurrentUSforeignpolicy.TheauthorsanalyzeTrump'spersonalityinseveralcategories—uninhibitedandcapricious,dynamicandcapable,profit-orientatedandself-centered,competitiveandpersistent,positiveandextraverted.Thetraitsofbreakingtraditions,skillatstrategicdeceptionandnegotiation,action-motivatedimplementation,intuitivedecision-making,pursuitofrespectandinterestexchange,andvengefulnesswillshapehispolicyandbehavioralorientations.InitialstudyshowsTrumptobeapoliticalleaderwithpositivepersonalitytraitsanddouble-sideddimensions.TheanalysisoffersinsighttowardunderstandingthenewUSexecutiveandhispolicydirection.
简介:Participation,supportandunderstandingofcountriesalongtheBeltandRoadarerequisitesforpromotingandimplementingthismajorinitiative.Indonesia,amajorASEANeconomy,iscrucialbutIndonesiahasalimitedperceptionoftheB&Rinitiative.Althoughitsgovernmentwelcomesitandtherulingcoalitioncooperatespositively,partsofthemilitaryandoppositionareskepticalofChina'sintent.TheB&Rinitiativeiswell-receivedamongtheIndonesianChinesegroup,whileIndonesianacademiccirclesremaincautiousandsomewhatcritical.FromaChineseviewpoint,easingnegativeorhostileemotionsappropriatelywouldbewell-timed.ChinashouldsettletheNatunaissue,adjustitspublicityinIndonesia,usediplomacy,andpromoteSino-Indonesiaculturalexchangeandcommunications.Chineseenterprisesshouldfocusonprojectqualityandupholdsocialresponsibilities.Short-termgoalsarereducingIndonesia'soppositionandobstructionofB&R,whilelong-termgoalsareenhancingtherecognitionandlikeabilityoftheInitiative'sworthwhileplans.
简介:Theyear2014wasatippingpointfortheBarackObamaAdministration—thatwastheyearwhenitstrovetoforgealegacyoftheObamaerabutcameupagainstchallengesarisingfrommajorchangesthatweretakingplaceinternationallyanddomestically.TheAdministrationwasthenfocusedonmaintainingafragilebalancebetweencreatingthislegacyandrespondingtothesechallenges.Obamastucktohisfundamentalprincipleswhendealingwithoverseasaffairs,buthealsocameupwithnewresponses.Thedynamicbalancestruckbetweenthesetwoformedthebasisoftheglobalstrategyofthelate-termObamaAdministration.TheAdministration'sfocusatthistimehighlightsthedilemmaitfacedinforgingalegacy.Further,theforeignpolicyofObamaandTrumpareactuallynotsodifferent;theybothsupportedsomedegreeofisolationismwithafocusondomesticissues.
简介:Geographically,IndiaisnotacountryintheregionoftheSouthChinaSea,norisitacountryconcernedintheissueonageopoliticalleveloraUSallyintheAsia-Pacificregion.IthasbeenverycautioustoavoidtakingsidesintheSouthChinaSeaissue.However,sinceModitookofficein2014,changeshavetakenplaceintheexternalenvironmentthatIndiafaces,inmaritimesafetystrategy,aswellasinIndia'spoliciestowardtheUSandChina.IndiaisbecomingincreasinglyactiveintheissueoftheSouthChinaSea,voicingcriticismandtakingprecautionsagainstChina.WhileIndia'spolicyontheSouthChinaSeawillnotbecompletelythesameasthatoftheUnitedStatesandJapan,duetoconcernsforitsowninterestsinthefuture,itisquitepossiblethatIndiawilltakeadvantageoftheissueoftheSouthChinaSeaandwilladoptmorecomprehensivewaystogetinvolvedintheissue.