摘要
Whilegametheoretictoolshavebeenwidelyappliedtonuclearproliferationanddisarmamentissues,traditionaldecisionanalysisassumesthatdecisionmakers,options,andpreferencesarefixed.Adramatheoreticapproachisusedtoovercometheselimitingassumptions:DramaTheory(DT)Ⅱallowsgloballeadersandnationalsecuritypolicymakerstoengageinarational-emotionalprocessofre-defininginternationalsecuritynegotiations(andtheir'positions'inthem)untilagreementonasatisfactorynuclearnon-proliferationresolutionisreached.The2009nuclearenergynegotiationsbetweenIranandworldpowersaremodeledwithDTⅡandtheConfrontationManagerTMDecisionSupportSystem.Byadjustingstrategyandderivingtransformativesecuritypolicy,itisshownhowinternationalsecuritycanbeachievedbypromotingnuclearnon-proliferationandresolvingstrategicconflict.
出版日期
2009年04月14日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)